Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? live odds

28%

implied probability

YES 28¢NO 72¢

recent price

+3¢ over the window

+3¢

24h change

$30K

24h volume

$315K

total volume

Jul 31, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

No detector alerts on this market in the last 24 hours — quiet tape.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?"?

The market currently prices YES at 28¢ and NO at 72¢, an implied probability of 28% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by July 31, 2026.

How much has been traded on this market?

$315K has been traded in total, $30K of it in the last 24 hours.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

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