Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? — final odds
"Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?" resolved NO on November 1, 2026 at a final price of 0¢ YES — a 0% implied probability — after $66K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.
0%
implied probability
recent price
—
24h change
$13K
24h volume
$66K
total volume
Nov 1, 2026
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
No detector alerts on this market in the last 24 hours — quiet tape.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Quick answers
How did "Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?" resolve?
This market resolved NO on November 1, 2026. Its final traded price was 0¢ YES.
What did the market predict?
Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 0¢ — an implied probability of 0%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.
How much was traded on this market?
$66K was traded over the market's lifetime.
Get alerted when this market moves
Eleven detectors watch this market around the clock. The app pings you on the whale trade, the odds swing, the volume spike — the moment they happen.
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