Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30? — live odds

Part of Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?· see all 5 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 30?" is trading at a 0% implied probability, with YES at — and NO at —. $9K has changed hands so far, $3K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by September 30, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this tech market in real time.

implied probability

YES —NO —

recent price

—

24h change

$3K

24h volume

$9K

total volume

Sep 30, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

No detector alerts on this market in the last 24 hours — quiet tape.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.