Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027? — live odds

Part of Will Base launch a token by ___ ?· see all 3 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027?" is trading at a 50% implied probability, with YES at 50¢ and NO at 50¢. $48K has changed hands so far, $57 of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2028. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

50%

implied probability

YES 50¢NO 50¢

recent price

+34¢ over the window

+34¢

24h change

$57

24h volume

$48K

total volume

Jan 1, 2028

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±48.9¢ swing band
5h ago
Odds swing
85¢ → 15¢ (-70¢ in 15 min)
5h ago
High volatility
±57.3¢ swing band
5h ago
Odds swing
62¢ → 15¢ (-47¢ in 15 min)
5h ago
High volatility
±49.2¢ swing band
5h ago
High volatility
±62.6¢ swing band
9h ago
Odds swing
97¢ → 14¢ (-83¢ in 15 min)
9h ago
High volatility
±38.7¢ swing band
10h ago
High volatility
±48.3¢ swing band
10h ago
High volatility
±46.2¢ swing band
13h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Base officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Base will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Base (https://x.com/base), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.