Will Bernard Arnault be richest person on December 31? — live odds

Part of Richest person on December 31, 2026?· see all 10 outcomes →📲 Open in app

implied probability

YES 0¢NO 100¢

recent price

-60¢ over the window

-60¢

24h change

—

24h volume

$365K

total volume

Dec 31, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±20.5¢ swing band
14d ago
Odds swing
93¢ → 53¢ (-39.9¢ in 15 min)
14d ago
High volatility
±4.8¢ swing band
14d ago
High volatility
±12.6¢ swing band
14d ago
Odds swing
93¢ → 53¢ (-39.9¢ in 15 min)
14d ago
High volatility
±22.6¢ swing band
14d ago
Odds swing
14¢ → 4¢ (-9.8¢ in 15 min)
31d ago
High volatility
±4.4¢ swing band
31d ago
High volatility
±11.2¢ swing band
31d ago
High volatility
±17.6¢ swing band
33d ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.