Will Jeff Bezos be richest person on December 31? — live odds

Part of Richest person on December 31, 2026?· see all 10 outcomes →📲 Open in app

implied probability

YES 0¢NO 100¢

recent price

-2¢ over the window

-2¢

24h change

—

24h volume

$337K

total volume

Dec 31, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

Odds swing
78¢ → 88¢ (+10¢ in 15 min)
13d ago
High volatility
±36¢ swing band
13d ago
Odds swing
2¢ → 85¢ (+82.8¢ in 15 min)
13d ago
Odds swing
70¢ → 89¢ (+19¢ in 15 min)
13d ago
High volatility
±25.5¢ swing band
13d ago
High volatility
±4.5¢ swing band
21d ago
High volatility
±13.7¢ swing band
21d ago
High volatility
±8.7¢ swing band
23d ago
Odds swing
19¢ → 9¢ (-10.1¢ in 15 min)
23d ago
High volatility
±12.3¢ swing band
23d ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.