Event odds table

Richest person on December 31, 2026? — live odds
10 outcomes$1.9M traded$72 · 24hresolves by December 31, 2026
1Elon Musk
94%94¢ · $1 24h2Sergey Brin
1%1¢ · $71 24h3Warren Buffett
1%1¢ · — 24h4Larry Page
1%1¢ · — 24h5Mark Zuckerberg
1%1¢ · — 24h6Jensen Huang
1%1¢ · — 24h7Jeff Bezos
0%0¢ · — 24h8Steve Ballmer
0%0¢ · — 24h9Bernard Arnault
0%0¢ · — 24h10Larry Ellison
0%0¢ · — 24h
About this event
- Which outcome is favored for Richest person on December 31, 2026??
- The market currently favors "Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?" at 94% implied probability (YES trading at 94¢).
- How much has been traded on Richest person on December 31, 2026??
- $1.9M has been traded across 10 outcome markets, $72 of it in the last 24 hours.
- When do these markets resolve?
- The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by December 31, 2026.