Event odds table
Richest person on December 31, 2026? — live odds
10 outcomes$1.9M tradedresolves by January 1, 2027
Live Richest person on December 31, 2026? odds: Elon Musk leads the field at 95% implied probability, ahead of Warren Buffett (1%). All 10 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $1.9M traded and the field resolving by January 1, 2027. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.
The market's call
Elon Musk 95%
implied probability (95¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 10
1Elon Musk
95%95¢ · — 24h2Warren Buffett
1%1¢ · — 24h3Mark Zuckerberg
0%0¢ · — 24h4Bernard Arnault
0%0¢ · — 24h5Jeff Bezos
0%0¢ · — 24h6Steve Ballmer
0%0¢ · — 24h7Jensen Huang
0%0¢ · — 24h8Sergey Brin
0%0¢ · — 24h9Larry Ellison
0%0¢ · — 24h10Larry Page
0%0¢ · — 24h
About this event
- Which outcome is favored for Richest person on December 31, 2026??
- The market currently favors Elon Musk at 95% implied probability (YES trading at 95¢).
- How much has been traded on Richest person on December 31, 2026??
- $1.9M has been traded across 10 outcome markets, $0 of it in the last 24 hours.
- When do these markets resolve?
- The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027.
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