Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in August? — live odds

Part of What price will Bitcoin hit in August?· see all 19 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in August?" is trading at a 3% implied probability, with YES at 3¢ and NO at 97¢. $28K has changed hands so far, $26K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by September 1, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

implied probability

YES 3¢NO 97¢

recent price

+87¢ over the window

+87¢

24h change

$26K

24h volume

$28K

total volume

Sep 1, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±21.9¢ swing band
14m ago
Odds swing
3¢ → 47¢ (+44.5¢ in 15 min)
29m ago
Odds swing
48¢ → 36¢ (-12¢ in 15 min)
47m ago
High volatility
±18¢ swing band
1h ago
Odds swing
43¢ → 89¢ (+45.8¢ in 15 min)
1h ago
High volatility
±19.4¢ swing band
1h ago
Odds swing
58¢ → 44¢ (-14¢ in 15 min)
1h ago
High volatility
±23.2¢ swing band
2h ago
Odds swing
40¢ → 78¢ (+38¢ in 15 min)
2h ago
High volatility
±16.3¢ swing band
2h ago

How this market resolves

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.