Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July? — live odds

Part of What price will Bitcoin hit in July?· see all 20 outcomes →📲 Open in app

implied probability

YES 2¢NO 98¢

recent price

-2¢ over the window

-2¢

24h change

$100K

24h volume

$1.0M

total volume

Aug 1, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

Volume spike
$276 traded — 4.3× the average
1h ago
High volatility
±6.8¢ swing band
1h ago
Volume spike
$606 traded — 9.4× the average
1h ago
Volume spike
$2,250 traded — 35× the average
1h ago
High volatility
±57.4¢ swing band
2h ago
Volume spike
$1,700 traded — 24.2× the average
3h ago
Volume spike
$2,600 traded — 35.6× the average
3h ago
Odds swing
69¢ → 2¢ (-67.2¢ in 15 min)
3h ago
Volume spike
$1,516 traded — 18.7× the average
3h ago
High volatility
±39.2¢ swing band
6h ago

How this market resolves

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.