
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 July 20-26? — live odds
17%
implied probability
recent price
+16¢ over the window
+16¢
24h change
$3K
24h volume
$7K
total volume
Jul 27, 2026
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
- 4m ago
Odds swing
17¢ → 1¢ (-15.8¢ in 15 min)
- 20m ago
High volatility
±4.4¢ swing band
- 20m ago
Odds swing
11¢ → 1¢ (-9.2¢ in 15 min)
- 40m ago
High volatility
±5¢ swing band
- 2h ago
High volatility
±4.5¢ swing band
- 3h ago
High volatility
±27.5¢ swing band
- 3h ago
Odds swing
2¢ → 89¢ (+86.8¢ in 15 min)
- 3h ago
High volatility
±37.2¢ swing band
- 5h ago
High volatility
±30.4¢ swing band
- 5h ago
conviction signal
How this market resolves
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Quick answers
What are the current odds of "Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 July 20-26?"?
The market currently prices YES at 17¢ and NO at 83¢, an implied probability of 17% that the answer is yes.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve by July 27, 2026.
How much has been traded on this market?
$7K has been traded in total, $3K of it in the last 24 hours.
Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.
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