Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on July 8? — final odds

Resolved YES · July 9, 2026Final price 100¢ YES — the market gave this a 100% implied probability.

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100%

implied probability

YES 100¢NO 0¢

recent price

+98¢ over the window

+98¢

24h change

$22K

24h volume

$22K

total volume

Jul 9, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±21.8¢ swing band
13d ago
High volatility
±8.3¢ swing band
13d ago
Odds swing
0¢ → 10¢ (+9.9¢ in 15 min)
13d ago
High volatility
±27.3¢ swing band
13d ago
Odds swing
1¢ → 78¢ (+77.2¢ in 15 min)
13d ago
Odds swing
2¢ → 34¢ (+31.7¢ in 15 min)
13d ago
High volatility
±17.9¢ swing band
13d ago
High volatility
±13.1¢ swing band
13d ago
conviction signal
13d ago
Volume spike
$354 traded — 18.3× the average
13d ago

How this market resolves

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the date specified in the title, between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Quick answers

How did "Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on July 8?" resolve?

This market resolved YES on July 9, 2026. Its final traded price was 100¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 100¢ — an implied probability of 100%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.