Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 July 27-August 2? live odds

"Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 July 27-August 2?" is trading at a 12% implied probability, with YES at 12¢ and NO at 88¢. $59K has changed hands so far, $27K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by August 3, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

12%

implied probability

YES 12¢NO 88¢

recent price

0¢ over the window

24h change

$27K

24h volume

$59K

total volume

Aug 3, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • High volatility

    ±16.5¢ swing band

    20m ago
  • Odds swing

    17¢ → 68¢ (+51.1¢ in 15 min)

    20m ago
  • High volatility

    ±20.1¢ swing band

    51m ago
  • High volatility

    ±23.7¢ swing band

    1h ago
  • Odds swing

    12¢ → 23¢ (+10.7¢ in 15 min)

    2h ago
  • High volatility

    ±7.1¢ swing band

    2h ago
  • Odds swing

    19¢ → 8¢ (-10.4¢ in 15 min)

    2h ago
  • High volatility

    ±23.3¢ swing band

    2h ago
  • Odds swing

    4¢ → 99¢ (+95.5¢ in 15 min)

    2h ago
  • High volatility

    ±8.1¢ swing band

    3h ago
How this market resolves

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 July 27-August 2?"?

The market currently prices YES at 12¢ and NO at 88¢, an implied probability of 12% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by August 3, 2026.

How much has been traded on this market?

$59K has been traded in total, $27K of it in the last 24 hours.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

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