
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 27-August 2? — live odds
"Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 27-August 2?" is trading at a 34% implied probability, with YES at 34¢ and NO at 67¢. $104K has changed hands so far, $51K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by August 3, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.
34%
implied probability
recent price
+73¢ over the window
+73¢
24h change
$51K
24h volume
$104K
total volume
Aug 3, 2026
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
- 25m ago
High volatility
±12.6¢ swing band
- 25m ago
Odds swing
2¢ → 75¢ (+73¢ in 15 min)
- 40m ago
High volatility
±15.6¢ swing band
- 56m ago
High volatility
±24¢ swing band
- 56m ago
Odds swing
30¢ → 73¢ (+43¢ in 15 min)
- 1h ago
Odds swing
1¢ → 23¢ (+22¢ in 15 min)
- 1h ago
High volatility
±16.2¢ swing band
- 2h ago
High volatility
±13.4¢ swing band
- 2h ago
Odds swing
99¢ → 11¢ (-88¢ in 15 min)
- 2h ago
High volatility
±16.7¢ swing band
How this market resolves
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Quick answers
What are the current odds of "Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 27-August 2?"?
The market currently prices YES at 34¢ and NO at 67¢, an implied probability of 34% that the answer is yes.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve by August 3, 2026.
How much has been traded on this market?
$104K has been traded in total, $51K of it in the last 24 hours.
Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.
Get alerted when this market moves
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