Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July? — live odds

Part of What price will Bitcoin hit in July?· see all 20 outcomes →📲 Open in app

43%

implied probability

YES 43¢NO 57¢

recent price

+9¢ over the window

+9¢

24h change

$60K

24h volume

$233K

total volume

Aug 1, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

Volume spike
$2,420 traded — 65.1× the average
31m ago
High volatility
±12.1¢ swing band
38m ago
Volume spike
$179 traded — 5.7× the average
44m ago
Volume spike
$105 traded — 3.3× the average
59m ago
Volume spike
$310 traded — 9.9× the average
1h ago
High volatility
±54.6¢ swing band
1h ago
Volume spike
$207 traded — 6.6× the average
1h ago
High volatility
±5.6¢ swing band
4h ago
High volatility
±4.1¢ swing band
4h ago
Odds swing
37¢ → 25¢ (-11.9¢ in 15 min)
4h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the month specified in the title has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.