Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 November 9-15? — live odds

"Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 November 9-15?" is trading at a 16% implied probability, with YES at 16¢ and NO at 84¢. $280K has changed hands so far, $169K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by November 16, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

16%

implied probability

YES 16¢NO 84¢

recent price

0¢ over the window

0¢

24h change

$169K

24h volume

$280K

total volume

Nov 16, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • Odds swing

    32¢ → 20¢ (-11.9¢ in 15 min)

    13m ago
  • Spread blowout

    spread 0.024¢ vs 0.0069¢ normal

    23m ago
  • High volatility

    ±9.5¢ swing band

    26m ago
  • Odds swing

    20¢ → 28¢ (+8.3¢ in 15 min)

    28m ago
  • High volatility

    ±9.6¢ swing band

    56m ago
  • High volatility

    ±12.1¢ swing band

    1h ago
  • Volume spike

    $1,000 traded — 27.5× the average

    1h ago
  • High volatility

    ±7.5¢ swing band

    2h ago
  • Volume spike

    $1,000 traded — 32.8× the average

    2h ago
  • Spread blowout

    spread 0.045¢ vs 0.0041¢ normal

    2h ago
How this market resolves

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 November 9-15?"?

The market currently prices YES at 16¢ and NO at 84¢, an implied probability of 16% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by November 16, 2026. The stated resolution source is https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT.

How much has been traded on this market?

$280K has been traded in total, $169K of it in the last 24 hours.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

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