Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November? — live odds

Part of What price will Bitcoin hit in November?· see all 18 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in November?" is trading at a 18% implied probability, with YES at 18¢ and NO at 82¢. $96K has changed hands so far, $78K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by December 1, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

18%

implied probability

YES 18¢NO 82¢

recent price

+1¢ over the window

+1¢

24h change

$78K

24h volume

$96K

total volume

Dec 1, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±21.4¢ swing band
5m ago
Volume spike
$565 traded — 10.2× the average
15m ago
Volume spike
$200 traded — 3.6× the average
49m ago
High volatility
±7.7¢ swing band
50m ago
Odds swing
17¢ → 30¢ (+13¢ in 15 min)
50m ago
High volatility
±16.9¢ swing band
1h ago
Odds swing
28¢ → 17¢ (-11¢ in 15 min)
1h ago
High volatility
±7.1¢ swing band
1h ago
High volatility
±17.8¢ swing band
2h ago
Volume spike
$300 traded — 5.3× the average
2h ago

How this market resolves

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.