Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in November? — live odds

Part of What price will Bitcoin hit in November?· see all 18 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in November?" is trading at a 38% implied probability, with YES at 38¢ and NO at 63¢. $63K has changed hands so far, $47K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by December 1, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

38%

implied probability

YES 38¢NO 63¢

recent price

+19¢ over the window

+19¢

24h change

$47K

24h volume

$63K

total volume

Dec 1, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±8.3¢ swing band
2m ago
Odds swing
46¢ → 36¢ (-10¢ in 15 min)
6m ago
High volatility
±5.2¢ swing band
17m ago
Odds swing
35¢ → 47¢ (+12¢ in 15 min)
21m ago
High volatility
±19.7¢ swing band
32m ago
Odds swing
52¢ → 40¢ (-12¢ in 15 min)
36m ago
High volatility
±22.4¢ swing band
47m ago
High volatility
±5.6¢ swing band
1h ago
Odds swing
36¢ → 45¢ (+9¢ in 15 min)
1h ago
High volatility
±6.6¢ swing band
1h ago

How this market resolves

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.