Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 September 7-13? — live odds
"Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 September 7-13?" is trading at a 3% implied probability, with YES at 3¢ and NO at 97¢. $81K has changed hands so far, $32K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by September 14, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.
3%
implied probability
recent price
-2¢ over the window
-2¢
24h change
$32K
24h volume
$81K
total volume
Sep 14, 2026
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
- 3h ago
High volatility
±45.9¢ swing band
- 5h ago
Volume spike
$98 traded — 3.7× the average
- 6h ago
Volume spike
$1,250 traded — 67.9× the average
- 6h ago
Volume spike
$500 traded — 26× the average
- 7h ago
Volume spike
$500 traded — 27.2× the average
- 7h ago
Volume spike
$7,265 traded — 395.7× the average
- 7h ago
Volume spike
$500 traded — 27.2× the average
- 13h ago
High volatility
±28.8¢ swing band
- 19h ago
Spread blowout
spread 0.022¢ vs 0.0051¢ normal
- 22h ago
Volume spike
$500 traded — 51.3× the average
How this market resolves
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Quick answers
What are the current odds of "Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 September 7-13?"?
The market currently prices YES at 3¢ and NO at 97¢, an implied probability of 3% that the answer is yes.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve by September 14, 2026.
How much has been traded on this market?
$81K has been traded in total, $32K of it in the last 24 hours.
Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.
Get alerted when this market moves
Eleven detectors watch this market around the clock. The app pings you on the whale trade, the odds swing, the volume spike — the moment they happen.
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