Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 August 31-September 6? live odds

"Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 August 31-September 6?" is trading at a 1% implied probability, with YES at 1¢ and NO at 99¢. $86K has changed hands so far, $32K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by September 7, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

1%

implied probability

YES NO 99¢

recent price

-2¢ over the window

-2¢

24h change

$32K

24h volume

$86K

total volume

Sep 7, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • High volatility

    ±25.4¢ swing band

    55m ago
  • Volume spike

    $201 traded — 6.7× the average

    1h ago
  • Volume spike

    $349 traded — 11.5× the average

    3h ago
  • High volatility

    ±47.9¢ swing band

    9h ago
  • Odds swing

    25¢ → 73¢ (+48¢ in 15 min)

    11h ago
  • High volatility

    ±9.3¢ swing band

    12h ago
  • Odds swing

    81¢ → 3¢ (-77.8¢ in 15 min)

    12h ago
  • High volatility

    ±29.7¢ swing band

    17h ago
  • High volatility

    ±16¢ swing band

    17h ago
  • Odds swing

    0¢ → 17¢ (+16.8¢ in 15 min)

    17h ago
How this market resolves

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 August 31-September 6?"?

The market currently prices YES at 1¢ and NO at 99¢, an implied probability of 1% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by September 7, 2026.

How much has been traded on this market?

$86K has been traded in total, $32K of it in the last 24 hours.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

Get alerted when this market moves

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