Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 November 2-8? — live odds

"Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 November 2-8?" is trading at a 13% implied probability, with YES at 13¢ and NO at 88¢. $14K has changed hands so far, $4K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by November 9, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

13%

implied probability

YES 13¢NO 88¢

recent price

-14¢ over the window

-14¢

24h change

$4K

24h volume

$14K

total volume

Nov 9, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • High volatility

    ±5.9¢ swing band

    10m ago
  • Odds swing

    93¢ → 10¢ (-83¢ in 15 min)

    10m ago
  • High volatility

    ±4.5¢ swing band

    25m ago
  • Odds swing

    14¢ → 6¢ (-8¢ in 15 min)

    25m ago
  • High volatility

    ±6.9¢ swing band

    40m ago
  • Odds swing

    5¢ → 16¢ (+11¢ in 15 min)

    40m ago
  • High volatility

    ±21.6¢ swing band

    55m ago
  • Odds swing

    30¢ → 3¢ (-27¢ in 15 min)

    55m ago
  • Odds swing

    26¢ → 8¢ (-18¢ in 15 min)

    1h ago
  • High volatility

    ±35.8¢ swing band

    1h ago
How this market resolves

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 November 2-8?"?

The market currently prices YES at 13¢ and NO at 88¢, an implied probability of 13% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by November 9, 2026. The stated resolution source is https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT.

How much has been traded on this market?

$14K has been traded in total, $4K of it in the last 24 hours.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

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