Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 October 5-11? — final odds

Resolved NO · October 12, 2026Final price 3¢ YES — the market gave this a 3% implied probability.

"Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 October 5-11?" resolved NO on October 12, 2026 at a final price of 3¢ YES — a 3% implied probability — after $88K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

implied probability

YES 3¢NO 97¢

recent price

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24h change

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24h volume

$88K

total volume

Oct 12, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±58.9¢ swing band
14h ago
High volatility
±27.6¢ swing band
15h ago
High volatility
±28.1¢ swing band
16h ago
Odds swing
5¢ → 100¢ (+94.9¢ in 15 min)
16h ago
High volatility
±41.9¢ swing band
17h ago
High volatility
±41¢ swing band
19h ago
Odds swing
17¢ → 2¢ (-14.8¢ in 15 min)
20h ago
High volatility
±32.2¢ swing band
20h ago
Odds swing
3¢ → 14¢ (+10.8¢ in 15 min)
20h ago
High volatility
±41.7¢ swing band
20h ago

How this market resolves

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Quick answers

How did "Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 October 5-11?" resolve?

This market resolved NO on October 12, 2026. Its final traded price was 3¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 3¢ — an implied probability of 3%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.