Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in August? — live odds

Part of What price will Bitcoin hit in August?· see all 23 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in August?" is trading at a 10% implied probability, with YES at 10¢ and NO at 90¢. $792K has changed hands so far, $149K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by September 1, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

10%

implied probability

YES 10¢NO 90¢

recent price

-1¢ over the window

-1¢

24h change

$149K

24h volume

$792K

total volume

Sep 1, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±5¢ swing band
3m ago
High volatility
±14.7¢ swing band
18m ago
Odds swing
11¢ → 49¢ (+37.9¢ in 15 min)
18m ago
Volume spike
$612 traded — 6.7× the average
33m ago
High volatility
±6.8¢ swing band
48m ago
Odds swing
8¢ → 17¢ (+8.5¢ in 15 min)
1h ago
High volatility
±32.5¢ swing band
2h ago
High volatility
±8¢ swing band
2h ago
Volume spike
$322 traded — 4.2× the average
2h ago
High volatility
±4.6¢ swing band
2h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the month specified in the title has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.