Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 August 24-30? — live odds
"Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 August 24-30?" is trading at a 1% implied probability, with YES at 1¢ and NO at 99¢. $109K has changed hands so far, $37K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by August 31, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.
1%
implied probability
recent price
-68¢ over the window
-68¢
24h change
$37K
24h volume
$109K
total volume
Aug 31, 2026
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
- 22m ago
High volatility
±45¢ swing band
- 22m ago
Odds swing
1¢ → 87¢ (+86.5¢ in 15 min)
- 37m ago
High volatility
±55.5¢ swing band
- 37m ago
Odds swing
0¢ → 17¢ (+16.9¢ in 15 min)
- 52m ago
High volatility
±38.7¢ swing band
- 1h ago
Odds swing
17¢ → 1¢ (-15.6¢ in 15 min)
- 2h ago
Odds swing
79¢ → 0¢ (-78.8¢ in 15 min)
- 3h ago
High volatility
±26.2¢ swing band
- 4h ago
Spread blowout
spread 0.048¢ vs 0.0159¢ normal
- 4h ago
High volatility
±7.4¢ swing band
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the date range specified in the title has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Quick answers
What are the current odds of "Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 August 24-30?"?
The market currently prices YES at 1¢ and NO at 99¢, an implied probability of 1% that the answer is yes.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve by August 31, 2026.
How much has been traded on this market?
$109K has been traded in total, $37K of it in the last 24 hours.
Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.
Get alerted when this market moves
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