Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on October 30? — live odds

Part of What price will Bitcoin hit on October 30?· see all 13 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on October 30?" is trading at a 22% implied probability, with YES at 22¢ and NO at 78¢. $75K has changed hands so far, $75K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by October 31, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

22%

implied probability

YES 22¢NO 78¢

recent price

-1¢ over the window

-1¢

24h change

$75K

24h volume

$75K

total volume

Oct 31, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±14.9¢ swing band
12m ago
Spread blowout
spread 0.04¢ vs 0.0129¢ normal
20m ago
Spread blowout
spread 0.04¢ vs 0.0115¢ normal
25m ago
High volatility
±28.9¢ swing band
27m ago
Odds swing
56¢ → 30¢ (-26¢ in 15 min)
27m ago
High volatility
±11.9¢ swing band
42m ago
High volatility
±23.7¢ swing band
5h ago
Odds swing
21¢ → 7¢ (-14¢ in 15 min)
5h ago
High volatility
±55.9¢ swing band
5h ago
High volatility
±36.2¢ swing band
5h ago

How this market resolves

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the date specified in the title, between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.