Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 September 7-13? live odds

"Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 September 7-13?" is trading at a 65% implied probability, with YES at 65¢ and NO at 36¢. $54K has changed hands so far, $17K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by September 14, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

65%

implied probability

YES 65¢NO 36¢

recent price

0¢ over the window

24h change

$17K

24h volume

$54K

total volume

Sep 14, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • High volatility

    ±11.2¢ swing band

    6m ago
  • Odds swing

    64¢ → 19¢ (-45¢ in 15 min)

    6m ago
  • High volatility

    ±7.6¢ swing band

    1h ago
  • Odds swing

    98¢ → 66¢ (-32¢ in 15 min)

    2h ago
  • High volatility

    ±30.9¢ swing band

    3h ago
  • High volatility

    ±24¢ swing band

    3h ago
  • High volatility

    ±21.9¢ swing band

    4h ago
  • High volatility

    ±6.4¢ swing band

    4h ago
  • Odds swing

    53¢ → 66¢ (+13¢ in 15 min)

    4h ago
  • High volatility

    ±17.1¢ swing band

    6h ago
How this market resolves

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 September 7-13?"?

The market currently prices YES at 65¢ and NO at 36¢, an implied probability of 65% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by September 14, 2026.

How much has been traded on this market?

$54K has been traded in total, $17K of it in the last 24 hours.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

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