Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 19-25? — live odds

Part of What price will Bitcoin hit October 19-25?· see all 15 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 19-25?" is trading at a 4% implied probability, with YES at 4¢ and NO at 96¢. $265K has changed hands so far, $144K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by October 26, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

implied probability

YES 4¢NO 96¢

recent price

0¢ over the window

0¢

24h change

$144K

24h volume

$265K

total volume

Oct 26, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±7¢ swing band
8m ago
Volume spike
$282 traded — 6.2× the average
21m ago
Volume spike
$1,000 traded — 22.1× the average
27m ago
High volatility
±21.7¢ swing band
1h ago
Odds swing
67¢ → 8¢ (-58.5¢ in 15 min)
3h ago
High volatility
±23.4¢ swing band
3h ago
Odds swing
8¢ → 78¢ (+69.8¢ in 15 min)
3h ago
Volume spike
$459 traded — 13.6× the average
3h ago
Volume spike
$189 traded — 5.6× the average
4h ago
High volatility
±40.9¢ swing band
4h ago

How this market resolves

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.