Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October? — final odds

Resolved NO · November 1, 2026Final price 4¢ YES — the market gave this a 4% implied probability.

Part of What price will Bitcoin hit in October?· see all 19 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?" resolved NO on November 1, 2026 at a final price of 4¢ YES — a 4% implied probability — after $192K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

implied probability

YES 4¢NO 96¢

recent price

—

24h change

$25K

24h volume

$192K

total volume

Nov 1, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±34.7¢ swing band
11h ago
Odds swing
38¢ → 94¢ (+56¢ in 15 min)
11h ago
High volatility
±6.9¢ swing band
12h ago
Odds swing
61¢ → 77¢ (+16¢ in 15 min)
12h ago
High volatility
±19.1¢ swing band
12h ago
Odds swing
20¢ → 46¢ (+26¢ in 15 min)
12h ago
High volatility
±17.9¢ swing band
12h ago
Odds swing
79¢ → 45¢ (-34¢ in 15 min)
12h ago
High volatility
±8.2¢ swing band
12h ago
High volatility
±38¢ swing band
13h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the month specified in the title has a final Low price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT Low prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Quick answers

How did "Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?" resolve?

This market resolved NO on November 1, 2026. Its final traded price was 4¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 4¢ — an implied probability of 4%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.