Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 16? — final odds

Resolved NO · October 17, 2026Final price 0¢ YES — the market gave this a 0% implied probability.

"Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 16?" resolved NO on October 17, 2026 at a final price of 0¢ YES — a 0% implied probability — after $91K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

implied probability

YES 0¢NO 100¢

recent price

—

24h change

$92K

24h volume

$91K

total volume

Oct 17, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±8.4¢ swing band
11h ago
Volume spike
$2,056 traded — 38.6× the average
11h ago
High volatility
±42.5¢ swing band
11h ago
High volatility
±50.2¢ swing band
11h ago
Odds swing
100¢ → 1¢ (-99.4¢ in 15 min)
11h ago
High volatility
±49.7¢ swing band
12h ago
Volume spike
$1,000 traded — 16× the average
12h ago
High volatility
±28.6¢ swing band
12h ago
Odds swing
60¢ → 0¢ (-59.5¢ in 15 min)
12h ago
High volatility
±34.2¢ swing band
12h ago

How this market resolves

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the date specified in the title, between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Quick answers

How did "Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 16?" resolve?

This market resolved NO on October 17, 2026. Its final traded price was 0¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 0¢ — an implied probability of 0%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.