Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 18? — final odds

Resolved YES · October 19, 2026Final price 99¢ YES — the market gave this a 99% implied probability.

"Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 18?" resolved YES on October 19, 2026 at a final price of 99¢ YES — a 99% implied probability — after $80K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

99%

implied probability

YES 99¢NO 1¢

recent price

—

24h change

$80K

24h volume

$80K

total volume

Oct 19, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

Spread blowout
spread 1¢ vs 0.0104¢ normal
1h ago
High volatility
±41¢ swing band
1h ago
Odds swing
1¢ → 95¢ (+93.8¢ in 15 min)
1h ago
Odds swing
100¢ → 0¢ (-99.8¢ in 15 min)
2h ago
High volatility
±58.7¢ swing band
2h ago
Odds swing
3¢ → 100¢ (+96.6¢ in 15 min)
2h ago
High volatility
±41.8¢ swing band
2h ago
High volatility
±23.3¢ swing band
3h ago
Odds swing
1¢ → 85¢ (+84¢ in 15 min)
3h ago
Volume spike
$1,847 traded — 62.9× the average
3h ago

How this market resolves

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the date specified in the title, between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET has a final "Low" price equal to or lower than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Low" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Quick answers

How did "Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 18?" resolve?

This market resolved YES on October 19, 2026. Its final traded price was 99¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 99¢ — an implied probability of 99%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.