Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 by December 31, 2026? — final odds

Resolved YES · January 1, 2027Final price 100¢ YES — the market gave this a 100% implied probability.

Part of What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?· see all 31 outcomes →📲 Open in app

100%

implied probability

YES 100¢NO 0¢

recent price

+12¢ over the window

+12¢

24h change

$10K

24h volume

$41K

total volume

Jan 1, 2027

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±51.2¢ swing band
7d ago
Odds swing
100¢ → 0¢ (-99.5¢ in 15 min)
7d ago
High volatility
±42.4¢ swing band
7d ago
High volatility
±42.4¢ swing band
7d ago
High volatility
±42.5¢ swing band
7d ago
High volatility
±42.4¢ swing band
7d ago
Odds swing
2¢ → 100¢ (+97.9¢ in 15 min)
7d ago
High volatility
±42.4¢ swing band
7d ago
Odds swing
66¢ → 0¢ (-65.6¢ in 15 min)
7d ago
High volatility
±28.6¢ swing band
7d ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) between the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the year specified in the title has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No”. Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Quick answers

How did "Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 by December 31, 2026?" resolve?

This market resolved YES on January 1, 2027. Its final traded price was 100¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 100¢ — an implied probability of 100%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.