Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July? — final odds

Resolved YES · August 1, 2026Final price 100¢ YES — the market gave this a 100% implied probability.

Part of What price will Bitcoin hit in July?· see all 20 outcomes →📲 Open in app

100%

implied probability

YES 100¢NO 0¢

recent price

+46¢ over the window

+46¢

24h change

$33K

24h volume

$78K

total volume

Aug 1, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±27.3¢ swing band
2d ago
High volatility
±39.1¢ swing band
2d ago
High volatility
±38.8¢ swing band
2d ago
High volatility
±4.6¢ swing band
2d ago
Odds swing
94¢ → 85¢ (-9.3¢ in 15 min)
2d ago
High volatility
±26¢ swing band
2d ago
Odds swing
94¢ → 39¢ (-55.1¢ in 15 min)
2d ago
High volatility
±23.8¢ swing band
2d ago
Odds swing
21¢ → 90¢ (+69.4¢ in 15 min)
2d ago
High volatility
±16.9¢ swing band
2d ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the month specified in the title has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Quick answers

How did "Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?" resolve?

This market resolved YES on August 1, 2026. Its final traded price was 100¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 100¢ — an implied probability of 100%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.