Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July? — final odds

This market has ended · August 1, 2026Final price 50¢ YES — the market gave this a 50% implied probability.

Part of What price will Bitcoin hit in July?· see all 19 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?" resolved on August 1, 2026 at a final price of 50¢ YES — a 50% implied probability — after $121K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

50%

implied probability

YES 50¢NO 50¢

recent price

-21¢ over the window

-21¢

24h change

$112K

24h volume

$121K

total volume

Aug 1, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

Spread blowout
spread 1¢ vs 0.0245¢ normal
3h ago
High volatility
±41.1¢ swing band
3h ago
Odds swing
99¢ → 3¢ (-95.6¢ in 15 min)
3h ago
Volume spike
$823 traded — 12.8× the average
3h ago
Volume spike
$250 traded — 4× the average
3h ago
High volatility
±27.5¢ swing band
3h ago
High volatility
±21.2¢ swing band
4h ago
Odds swing
63¢ → 79¢ (+16¢ in 15 min)
4h ago
Volume spike
$962 traded — 15.8× the average
4h ago
High volatility
±6.9¢ swing band
4h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the month specified in the title has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Quick answers

How did "Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?" resolve?

This market ended on August 1, 2026 with a final traded price of 50¢ YES (50% implied probability).

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 50¢ — an implied probability of 50%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.