Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August? live odds

"Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August?" is trading at a 47% implied probability, with YES at 47¢ and NO at 54¢. $39K has changed hands so far, $35K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by September 1, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

47%

implied probability

YES 47¢NO 54¢

recent price

-90¢ over the window

-90¢

24h change

$35K

24h volume

$39K

total volume

Sep 1, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • High volatility

    ±81¢ swing band

    12m ago
  • Odds swing

    93¢ → 42¢ (-51¢ in 15 min)

    12m ago
  • High volatility

    ±33.7¢ swing band

    27m ago
  • Odds swing

    46¢ → 31¢ (-15¢ in 15 min)

    27m ago
  • High volatility

    ±64.1¢ swing band

    43m ago
  • High volatility

    ±8.9¢ swing band

    58m ago
  • Odds swing

    90¢ → 47¢ (-43¢ in 15 min)

    58m ago
  • High volatility

    ±38.8¢ swing band

    1h ago
  • High volatility

    ±70.1¢ swing band

    1h ago
  • Odds swing

    91¢ → 76¢ (-15¢ in 15 min)

    1h ago
How this market resolves

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August?"?

The market currently prices YES at 47¢ and NO at 54¢, an implied probability of 47% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by September 1, 2026.

How much has been traded on this market?

$39K has been traded in total, $35K of it in the last 24 hours.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

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