Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 July 20-26? live odds

45%

implied probability

YES 45¢NO 55¢

recent price

+24¢ over the window

+24¢

24h change

$12K

24h volume

$15K

total volume

Jul 27, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • Odds swing

    80¢ → 51¢ (-29¢ in 15 min)

    13m ago
  • High volatility

    ±14.5¢ swing band

    28m ago
  • Odds swing

    57¢ → 44¢ (-13¢ in 15 min)

    28m ago
  • High volatility

    ±13.3¢ swing band

    44m ago
  • High volatility

    ±15.6¢ swing band

    59m ago
  • High volatility

    ±15.9¢ swing band

    1h ago
  • Odds swing

    6¢ → 50¢ (+44¢ in 15 min)

    1h ago
  • Odds swing

    6¢ → 56¢ (+50¢ in 15 min)

    1h ago
  • High volatility

    ±12.5¢ swing band

    2h ago
  • Odds swing

    58¢ → 49¢ (-9¢ in 15 min)

    2h ago
How this market resolves

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 July 20-26?"?

The market currently prices YES at 45¢ and NO at 55¢, an implied probability of 45% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by July 27, 2026.

How much has been traded on this market?

$15K has been traded in total, $12K of it in the last 24 hours.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

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