Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on July 20? — final odds

This market has ended · July 21, 2026Final price 95¢ YES — the market gave this a 95% implied probability.

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95%

implied probability

YES 95¢NO 5¢

recent price

+95¢ over the window

+95¢

24h change

$19K

24h volume

$19K

total volume

Jul 21, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±27.3¢ swing band
13h ago
High volatility
±28.7¢ swing band
14h ago
Odds swing
2¢ → 100¢ (+98.1¢ in 15 min)
14h ago
High volatility
±19.3¢ swing band
14h ago
Odds swing
2¢ → 100¢ (+98¢ in 15 min)
14h ago
High volatility
±27.6¢ swing band
14h ago
High volatility
±18.8¢ swing band
15h ago
Odds swing
10¢ → 2¢ (-8.3¢ in 15 min)
15h ago
conviction signal
15h ago
High volatility
±20¢ swing band
15h ago

How this market resolves

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the date specified in the title, between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Quick answers

How did "Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on July 20?" resolve?

This market ended on July 21, 2026 with a final traded price of 95¢ YES (95% implied probability).

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 95¢ — an implied probability of 95%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.