Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 July 27-August 2? — live odds

Part of What price will Bitcoin hit July 27-August 2?· see all 13 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 July 27-August 2?" is trading at a 1% implied probability, with YES at 1¢ and NO at 99¢. $44K has changed hands so far, $4K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by August 3, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

implied probability

YES 1¢NO 99¢

recent price

-66¢ over the window

-66¢

24h change

$4K

24h volume

$44K

total volume

Aug 3, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±17¢ swing band
10m ago
Odds swing
1¢ → 13¢ (+12.2¢ in 15 min)
10m ago
Odds swing
84¢ → 1¢ (-83.5¢ in 15 min)
41m ago
Odds swing
13¢ → 1¢ (-12.2¢ in 15 min)
1h ago
Odds swing
13¢ → 1¢ (-12.2¢ in 15 min)
2h ago
Odds swing
13¢ → 1¢ (-12.2¢ in 15 min)
2h ago
Odds swing
98¢ → 1¢ (-96.8¢ in 15 min)
3h ago
High volatility
±25¢ swing band
3h ago
Odds swing
13¢ → 100¢ (+87.2¢ in 15 min)
3h ago
High volatility
±24.6¢ swing band
3h ago

How this market resolves

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.