Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 on July 18? — final odds

Resolved NO · July 19, 2026Final price 1¢ YES — the market gave this a 1% implied probability.

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implied probability

YES 1¢NO 99¢

recent price

-44¢ over the window

-44¢

24h change

$1K

24h volume

$1K

total volume

Jul 19, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±42.3¢ swing band
3d ago
Odds swing
1¢ → 85¢ (+84.2¢ in 15 min)
3d ago
High volatility
±24.5¢ swing band
3d ago
Odds swing
1¢ → 47¢ (+46.2¢ in 15 min)
3d ago
High volatility
±32.2¢ swing band
3d ago
Odds swing
10¢ → 1¢ (-9.1¢ in 15 min)
3d ago
High volatility
±21.3¢ swing band
3d ago
Odds swing
1¢ → 48¢ (+47.2¢ in 15 min)
3d ago
High volatility
±27.8¢ swing band
3d ago
Odds swing
1¢ → 68¢ (+67.1¢ in 15 min)
3d ago

How this market resolves

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the date specified in the title, between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Quick answers

How did "Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 on July 18?" resolve?

This market resolved NO on July 19, 2026. Its final traded price was 1¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 1¢ — an implied probability of 1%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.