Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July? live odds

12%

implied probability

YES 12¢NO 88¢

recent price

-2¢ over the window

-2¢

24h change

$101K

24h volume

$858K

total volume

Aug 1, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • Volume spike

    $300 traded — 5× the average

    0m ago
  • Volume spike

    $1,473 traded — 24.4× the average

    19m ago
  • High volatility

    ±4.4¢ swing band

    35m ago
  • Volume spike

    $648 traded — 10.8× the average

    59m ago
  • High volatility

    ±6¢ swing band

    1h ago
  • Volume spike

    $300 traded — 5× the average

    1h ago
  • Volume spike

    $500 traded — 9.4× the average

    2h ago
  • Volume spike

    $677 traded — 13.6× the average

    3h ago
  • Volume spike

    $1,106 traded — 19.8× the average

    3h ago
  • Volume spike

    $340 traded — 6.1× the average

    3h ago
How this market resolves

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?"?

The market currently prices YES at 12¢ and NO at 88¢, an implied probability of 12% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by August 1, 2026.

How much has been traded on this market?

$858K has been traded in total, $101K of it in the last 24 hours.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

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