
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July? — live odds
12%
implied probability
recent price
-2¢ over the window
-2¢
24h change
$101K
24h volume
$858K
total volume
Aug 1, 2026
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
- 0m ago
Volume spike
$300 traded — 5× the average
- 19m ago
Volume spike
$1,473 traded — 24.4× the average
- 35m ago
High volatility
±4.4¢ swing band
- 59m ago
Volume spike
$648 traded — 10.8× the average
- 1h ago
High volatility
±6¢ swing band
- 1h ago
Volume spike
$300 traded — 5× the average
- 2h ago
Volume spike
$500 traded — 9.4× the average
- 3h ago
Volume spike
$677 traded — 13.6× the average
- 3h ago
Volume spike
$1,106 traded — 19.8× the average
- 3h ago
Volume spike
$340 traded — 6.1× the average
How this market resolves
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.
Quick answers
What are the current odds of "Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?"?
The market currently prices YES at 12¢ and NO at 88¢, an implied probability of 12% that the answer is yes.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve by August 1, 2026.
How much has been traded on this market?
$858K has been traded in total, $101K of it in the last 24 hours.
Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.
Get alerted when this market moves
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