Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 July 20-26? — live odds

Part of What price will Bitcoin hit July 20-26?· see all 11 outcomes →📲 Open in app

17%

implied probability

YES 17¢NO 83¢

recent price

+15¢ over the window

+15¢

24h change

$11K

24h volume

$12K

total volume

Jul 27, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

Odds swing
69¢ → 4¢ (-64.8¢ in 15 min)
12m ago
High volatility
±26.2¢ swing band
27m ago
Odds swing
69¢ → 2¢ (-66.7¢ in 15 min)
2h ago
conviction signal
3h ago
Odds swing
12¢ → 3¢ (-9¢ in 15 min)
3h ago
High volatility
±13.8¢ swing band
3h ago
Odds swing
4¢ → 100¢ (+96.2¢ in 15 min)
3h ago
High volatility
±6.2¢ swing band
3h ago
Odds swing
2¢ → 12¢ (+10.5¢ in 15 min)
3h ago
Odds swing
2¢ → 13¢ (+10.8¢ in 15 min)
4h ago

How this market resolves

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.