Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 on August 20? — live odds

Part of What price will Bitcoin hit on August 20?· see all 9 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 on August 20?" is trading at a 72% implied probability, with YES at 72¢ and NO at 28¢. $44K has changed hands so far, $44K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by August 21, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

72%

implied probability

YES 72¢NO 28¢

recent price

-12¢ over the window

-12¢

24h change

$44K

24h volume

$44K

total volume

Aug 21, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

Spread blowout
spread 0.42¢ vs 0.129¢ normal
2m ago
High volatility
±15.6¢ swing band
13m ago
Odds swing
98¢ → 71¢ (-26.6¢ in 15 min)
13m ago
Spread blowout
spread 0.608¢ vs 0.1007¢ normal
17m ago
Spread blowout
spread 0.356¢ vs 0.0873¢ normal
22m ago
Spread blowout
spread 0.258¢ vs 0.0783¢ normal
28m ago
High volatility
±18.4¢ swing band
28m ago
Odds swing
11¢ → 62¢ (+50.5¢ in 15 min)
28m ago
Spread blowout
spread 0.216¢ vs 0.0684¢ normal
38m ago
High volatility
±5.7¢ swing band
43m ago

How this market resolves

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the date specified in the title, between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.