Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 August 17-23? — final odds

Resolved YES · August 24, 2026Final price 100¢ YES — the market gave this a 100% implied probability.

"Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 August 17-23?" resolved YES on August 24, 2026 at a final price of 100¢ YES — a 100% implied probability — after $182K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

100%

implied probability

YES 100¢NO 0¢

recent price

—

24h change

$128K

24h volume

$182K

total volume

Aug 24, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

Spread blowout
spread 1¢ vs 0.0317¢ normal
3d ago
High volatility
±9.8¢ swing band
3d ago
Odds swing
81¢ → 48¢ (-33.6¢ in 15 min)
3d ago
High volatility
±13.4¢ swing band
3d ago
Odds swing
41¢ → 81¢ (+39.8¢ in 15 min)
3d ago
High volatility
±29.1¢ swing band
3d ago
Odds swing
74¢ → 32¢ (-42.3¢ in 15 min)
3d ago
High volatility
±6.8¢ swing band
3d ago
High volatility
±22.3¢ swing band
3d ago
Odds swing
56¢ → 98¢ (+42.1¢ in 15 min)
3d ago

How this market resolves

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for BTC/USDT during the date range specified in the title (from 12:00 AM ET on the first date to 11:59 PM ET on the last) has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Quick answers

How did "Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 August 17-23?" resolve?

This market resolved YES on August 24, 2026. Its final traded price was 100¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 100¢ — an implied probability of 100%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.