Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in August? — live odds

Part of What price will Bitcoin hit in August?· see all 19 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in August?" is trading at a 3% implied probability, with YES at 3¢ and NO at 97¢. $30K has changed hands so far, $29K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by September 1, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

implied probability

YES 3¢NO 97¢

recent price

-11¢ over the window

-11¢

24h change

$29K

24h volume

$30K

total volume

Sep 1, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

Odds swing
45¢ → 67¢ (+22¢ in 15 min)
1m ago
High volatility
±12.2¢ swing band
19m ago
High volatility
±12.4¢ swing band
50m ago
Odds swing
46¢ → 3¢ (-43.3¢ in 15 min)
50m ago
High volatility
±24.8¢ swing band
1h ago
Odds swing
46¢ → 3¢ (-43.4¢ in 15 min)
1h ago
High volatility
±12.2¢ swing band
2h ago
High volatility
±17.4¢ swing band
2h ago
Odds swing
2¢ → 46¢ (+43.7¢ in 15 min)
2h ago
Volume spike
$412 traded — 12.7× the average
2h ago

How this market resolves

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.