Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July? — live odds

Part of What price will Bitcoin hit in July?· see all 20 outcomes →📲 Open in app

41%

implied probability

YES 41¢NO 59¢

recent price

+35¢ over the window

+35¢

24h change

$54K

24h volume

$621K

total volume

Aug 1, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±16.9¢ swing band
6m ago
High volatility
±11.4¢ swing band
21m ago
Odds swing
41¢ → 2¢ (-39.5¢ in 15 min)
21m ago
Volume spike
$481 traded — 10.1× the average
26m ago
High volatility
±16.2¢ swing band
37m ago
Odds swing
41¢ → 2¢ (-38.8¢ in 15 min)
37m ago
High volatility
±18.3¢ swing band
52m ago
Odds swing
4¢ → 41¢ (+37.5¢ in 15 min)
52m ago
High volatility
±25¢ swing band
1h ago
Odds swing
55¢ → 41¢ (-14¢ in 15 min)
1h ago

How this market resolves

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.