TL;DR
- 🐋 BUY $72,597.93 whale activity in Bitcoin $77,500 market — price impact 98.2¢
- Bitcoin dip to $47,500 market drops 46.9¢
- Bitcoin $60,000 dip market sees 253.3x average volume
📈 The big moves
| Market | Move | Now | 24h volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in July? | ▼ -46.9¢ | 9.9¢ (9.9%) | $0 |
| Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal? | ▲ +46.6¢ | 50¢ (50%) | $0 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026? | ▲ +28.0¢ | 66¢ (66%) | $0 |
| Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | ▲ +25.0¢ | 85¢ (85%) | $0 |
The market predicting if Bitcoin will dip to $47,500 in July saw the largest downward move, repricing by 46.9¢. This significant shift pushes the implied probability of a dip to 9.9%, indicating a strong sentiment against the event. Learn more about how to track these movements in our how to read Polymarket guide.
🐋 Whale watch
A major whale BUY activity of $72,597.93 impacted the market asking Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July?, moving the price by 98.2¢. Another significant BUY of $70,967.92 occurred in the market Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?, resulting in a -68.0¢ price impact. Meanwhile, a SELL of $49,483.78 was observed in the Alphabet largest company by market cap market, with a -99.0¢ price impact. These movements highlight the impact of large players, a phenomenon we cover in our whale watching guide.
📊 Volume spikes
Today saw several notable volume spikes in Bitcoin-related markets, signaling heightened interest. The market Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July? experienced a massive 253.3x increase over its average volume, with $10,000.0 in total volume. The market Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 24? also surged with $1,271.5 in volume, 26.5x its average. Additionally, the market predicting Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July? saw a 16.3x spike with $498.1 in volume. You can track all these movements on Bitcoin price target tracker. For more on the broader landscape, visit crypto prediction markets.
🗓️ Resolving soon
Several sports and political markets are resolving soon. League of Legends matches, including Team WE vs JD Gaming and EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming, are closing today. Geopolitical markets like US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? and Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? are also nearing their end dates.
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