Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on September 15? — live odds

Part of What price will Bitcoin hit on September 15?· see all 13 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 on September 15?" is trading at a 1% implied probability, with YES at 1¢ and NO at 99¢. $32K has changed hands so far, $32K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by September 16, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

implied probability

YES 1¢NO 99¢

recent price

+2¢ over the window

+2¢

24h change

$32K

24h volume

$32K

total volume

Sep 16, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±29¢ swing band
6m ago
Odds swing
0¢ → 92¢ (+91.8¢ in 15 min)
6m ago
High volatility
±28.5¢ swing band
36m ago
High volatility
±32.7¢ swing band
52m ago
Odds swing
93¢ → 2¢ (-90.9¢ in 15 min)
52m ago
High volatility
±38.9¢ swing band
2h ago
High volatility
±32.7¢ swing band
2h ago
conviction signal
4h ago
Odds swing
85¢ → 3¢ (-82.5¢ in 15 min)
4h ago
High volatility
±27.3¢ swing band
4h ago

How this market resolves

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the date specified in the title, between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.