Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September? — final odds

This market has ended · October 1, 2026Final price 15¢ YES — the market gave this a 15% implied probability.

Part of What price will Bitcoin hit in September?· see all 17 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September?" resolved on October 1, 2026 at a final price of 15¢ YES — a 15% implied probability — after $69K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

15%

implied probability

YES 15¢NO 85¢

recent price

—

24h change

$26K

24h volume

$69K

total volume

Oct 1, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

Spread blowout
spread 1¢ vs 0.0161¢ normal
23m ago
High volatility
±35.6¢ swing band
24m ago
Odds swing
100¢ → 75¢ (-24.9¢ in 15 min)
24m ago
High volatility
±9.8¢ swing band
40m ago
High volatility
±4¢ swing band
2h ago
High volatility
±8.6¢ swing band
2h ago
High volatility
±5.8¢ swing band
2h ago
High volatility
±4.5¢ swing band
3h ago
High volatility
±7.1¢ swing band
3h ago
High volatility
±8¢ swing band
4h ago

How this market resolves

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT during the month specified in the title (from 00:00 AM ET on the first day to 11:59 PM ET on the last), has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Quick answers

How did "Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September?" resolve?

This market ended on October 1, 2026 with a final traded price of 15¢ YES (15% implied probability).

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 15¢ — an implied probability of 15%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.