Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on August 28? live odds

"Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on August 28?" is trading at a 1% implied probability, with YES at 1¢ and NO at 99¢. $21K has changed hands so far, $21K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by August 29, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

1%

implied probability

YES NO 99¢

recent price

-1¢ over the window

-1¢

24h change

$21K

24h volume

$21K

total volume

Aug 29, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • High volatility

    ±40¢ swing band

    10m ago
  • High volatility

    ±45.7¢ swing band

    25m ago
  • High volatility

    ±57.2¢ swing band

    42m ago
  • Odds swing

    1¢ → 92¢ (+90.8¢ in 15 min)

    42m ago
  • conviction signal

    49m ago
  • High volatility

    ±46.8¢ swing band

    58m ago
  • High volatility

    ±18.8¢ swing band

    1h ago
  • Odds swing

    1¢ → 68¢ (+67.4¢ in 15 min)

    1h ago
  • High volatility

    ±18.6¢ swing band

    1h ago
  • Odds swing

    3¢ → 65¢ (+62¢ in 15 min)

    1h ago
How this market resolves

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the date specified in the title, between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on August 28?"?

The market currently prices YES at 1¢ and NO at 99¢, an implied probability of 1% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by August 29, 2026.

How much has been traded on this market?

$21K has been traded in total, $21K of it in the last 24 hours.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

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