Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 September 7-13? live odds

"Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 September 7-13?" is trading at a 27% implied probability, with YES at 27¢ and NO at 74¢. $28K has changed hands so far, $12K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by September 14, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

27%

implied probability

YES 27¢NO 74¢

recent price

-13¢ over the window

-13¢

24h change

$12K

24h volume

$28K

total volume

Sep 14, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • High volatility

    ±7.9¢ swing band

    20m ago
  • High volatility

    ±8.6¢ swing band

    1h ago
  • Odds swing

    27¢ → 8¢ (-19¢ in 15 min)

    1h ago
  • High volatility

    ±4.9¢ swing band

    2h ago
  • High volatility

    ±4.1¢ swing band

    3h ago
  • High volatility

    ±4.2¢ swing band

    4h ago
  • High volatility

    ±4.7¢ swing band

    4h ago
  • High volatility

    ±5.6¢ swing band

    4h ago
  • High volatility

    ±7.5¢ swing band

    5h ago
  • Odds swing

    27¢ → 8¢ (-19¢ in 15 min)

    5h ago
How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT from the creation of this market through 11:59 PM ET on the last day of the date range specified in the title has a final High price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Price action before this market's creation will not be considered. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT High prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 September 7-13?"?

The market currently prices YES at 27¢ and NO at 74¢, an implied probability of 27% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by September 14, 2026.

How much has been traded on this market?

$28K has been traded in total, $12K of it in the last 24 hours.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

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