Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on August 24? — final odds

Resolved NO · August 25, 2026Final price 2¢ YES — the market gave this a 2% implied probability.

"Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on August 24?" resolved NO on August 25, 2026 at a final price of 2¢ YES — a 2% implied probability — after $29K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

implied probability

YES 2¢NO 98¢

recent price

—

24h change

$29K

24h volume

$29K

total volume

Aug 25, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±11.3¢ swing band
10h ago
Odds swing
69¢ → 8¢ (-61.2¢ in 15 min)
10h ago
High volatility
±19.7¢ swing band
10h ago
High volatility
±39.5¢ swing band
11h ago
High volatility
±19.8¢ swing band
11h ago
Odds swing
94¢ → 4¢ (-90.2¢ in 15 min)
12h ago
High volatility
±5.1¢ swing band
12h ago
conviction signal
12h ago
High volatility
±7.4¢ swing band
13h ago
Odds swing
69¢ → 8¢ (-61.3¢ in 15 min)
13h ago

How this market resolves

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the date specified in the title, between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Quick answers

How did "Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on August 24?" resolve?

This market resolved NO on August 25, 2026. Its final traded price was 2¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 2¢ — an implied probability of 2%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.