Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on August 28? live odds

"Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on August 28?" is trading at a 1% implied probability, with YES at 1¢ and NO at 100¢. $22K has changed hands so far, $22K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by August 29, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

1%

implied probability

YES NO 100¢

recent price

+16¢ over the window

+16¢

24h change

$22K

24h volume

$22K

total volume

Aug 29, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • High volatility

    ±33.2¢ swing band

    13m ago
  • Odds swing

    25¢ → 2¢ (-23.1¢ in 15 min)

    13m ago
  • High volatility

    ±33.3¢ swing band

    28m ago
  • Odds swing

    25¢ → 67¢ (+42¢ in 15 min)

    28m ago
  • High volatility

    ±13.4¢ swing band

    43m ago
  • Odds swing

    25¢ → 68¢ (+43¢ in 15 min)

    43m ago
  • conviction signal

    51m ago
  • High volatility

    ±9.8¢ swing band

    58m ago
  • Odds swing

    25¢ → 2¢ (-23.1¢ in 15 min)

    58m ago
  • High volatility

    ±25.2¢ swing band

    1h ago
How this market resolves

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the date specified in the title, between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on August 28?"?

The market currently prices YES at 1¢ and NO at 100¢, an implied probability of 1% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by August 29, 2026.

How much has been traded on this market?

$22K has been traded in total, $22K of it in the last 24 hours.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

Get alerted when this market moves

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